Yesterday, government finally provided some much-needed
clarity on exactly what their plans are and will be in coming weeks to break
through the parliamentary deadlock, turn chaos into order and finally deliver
the Holy Gail of Brexit, Do or Die.
In various reports from several journalists yesterday, sources
close to government and others have suggested that Prime Minister Johnson: -
- Was considering bringing back a version of the Northern Ireland-only backstop.
- Has had meetings with the DUP in which he rejected any notion of a Northern Ireland-only backstop.
- Is trying to entice back into the party those Tory rebel MPs expelled under instruction from his SpAd for voting against him last week.
- Is appealing to One-Nation Tories to help him counter the “spears in my back” expected from the ERG & DUP when he brings a plan to parliament (those not so disillusioned with Johnson they’re quitting politics altogether, one assumes).
- Has begun “scoping” conversations over an electoral pact with the Brexit Party Ltd whose price is to scrap any Withdrawal Agreement and hand them a free run at 80-90 seats.
- Has told Cabinet that even without a deal he will not negotiate a delay with Brussels, as required by law, and intended to “sabotage” the extension using a cunning plan which wasn’t going to divulged but we’d all find out soon enough.
Added to this, Andrea Leadsom stuck another one on the pile this morning
by saying that despite a Humble Address binding on government they don’t intend
to publish the Operation Yellow Hammer documents as they might “serve to
concern people”. Trust us Andrea, we are already concerned.
Taking just the first "plan", there are problems associated with a reintroduction of a Northern-Ireland
only backstop into a Withdrawal Agreement. These are not merely limited to it
being seen as something of a turnaround for a Prime Minister who has repeatedly
said “The anti-democratic Backstop is dead”. Or that it would need a majority
in parliament, that the Brexit Party Ltd. would then stand against him
everywhere in the imminent General Election, or even that it could cause the
self-proclaimed “Minister for the Union” to precipitate the breakup of said
Union. The main issue is time.
Parliament would have to approve the new Backstop plan
before it could be brought to the EU council at the summit on the 17th and 18th
of October. The Benn Bill states than if no agreement is in place by the 19th of October an extension must by law be requested by the Prime Minister. The 19th
of October is a Saturday. So as the Prime Minister has prorogued parliament
until the 14th with a Queen’s speech to be presented debated and voted on that week,
there simply isn’t time to get it done before the PM has to request an
extension or break the law (the cunning plots of Machiavellian genius Cummings notwithstanding).
Remember, this lack of time is precisely because of the
actions of the government stifling parliamentary scrutiny by proroguing parliament*. Classic Dom.
Each of
these reported proposals falls apart under scrutiny in a similar way. But looking at this smorgasbord of potential
paths clearly reveals the bigger problem - it is simply impossible to reconcile
more than one or two of these plans in the same universe. It’s like trying to
make a new jigsaw using pieces from a few different old ones. You may be able
to get a couple of the pieces to fit together but then the others won’t go in,
and you will never make a picture of anything sensible.
This chaos is part of the plan. For anyone who has followed
US politics for a while this is not a new phenomenon, but a well-worn tactic
employed by Donald Trump’s former adviser Steve Bannon, a method known as
“flood the forum with shit”.
This has two advantages for government, though sadly fewer
for the rest of us. Firstly it covers all possible bases so nobody can tell
what the plan actually is, and when something does eventually crystallise
Government can suggest that was the real plan all along and we shouldn’t have
been such fools as to believe the others.
Secondly and more importantly, it is a clever way of
spreading propaganda. As chess Grandmaster and Russian anti-Putin activist Garry
Kasparov says, “The point of modern propaganda isn't only to misinform or push
an agenda. It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.” It is
truly exhausting trying to work out the likelihood of any course of action, the
likelihood of success and the eventual consequences. And even if we could, it
wouldn’t matter because today there’ll be a raft of new, conflicting ideas and
plans.
It’s no wonder a sizeable number of people in the UK want us
to Just Get On With it, or conversely Just Make It Stop.
* Update : Literally as I was finishing this, the Courts in
Scotland found that Boris Johnson misled the Queen on his reasons for
proroguing parliament, which may lead to parliament re-sitting and/or the Prime Minister resigning for lying to the Queen. Maybe this is a
little more chaos than even Mr Cummings was expecting.
Well done Joanna Cherry, Jolyon Maugham and The Good Law Project for their sterling work.
Casino Near Me - Mapyro
ReplyDeleteThis area features 논산 출장샵 a casino, 충청북도 출장안마 slots, live entertainment, restaurants, a casino, nightlife and spa. 의정부 출장샵 There are 7 restaurants, bars, bars 당진 출장안마 and restaurants 시흥 출장샵